Is the DMA a Chicken or a Duck? Why It Dooms EU Businesses and Users

The Origins and Flaws of the Digital Markets Act

The Digital Markets Act (DMA) was initially designed as a tool for competition law. Despite its evolving role, it was built on shaky conceptual foundations that continue to affect its effectiveness. This article explores the challenges and missteps in the European Union’s approach to regulating digital markets.

Anticipating the Future: A Warning from Margrethe Vestager

Almost three years ago, then-Competition Commissioner Margrethe Vestager highlighted the risks associated with emerging technologies like the metaverse and OpenAI. She emphasized the importance of proactive regulation, stating:

“We have certainly not been too quick to act – and this can be an important lesson for us in the future,” she said.

“We need to anticipate and plan for change, given the obvious fact that our enforcement and legislative process will always be slower than the markets themselves. For example, it is already time for us to start asking what healthy competition should look like in the Metaverse, or how something like ChatGPT may change the equation,” she added.

This warning underscores the challenge regulators face in keeping up with rapidly evolving technological landscapes.

Shifting Regulatory Mindset

Around five to seven years ago, a significant shift occurred in the mindset of European regulators. They began focusing on preventing harmful technologies before they became widespread. While the intention is commendable, the execution has had adverse effects on both European businesses and consumers.

The decision by Meta to shut down Horizon Worlds in June serves as a reminder of the difficulties regulators face in predicting market outcomes. This episode highlights the limitations of regulatory foresight.

The EU AI Act and Its Challenges

The EU AI Act is another example of regulatory challenges. It contained inconsistencies and assumptions that were already outdated when it came into force. This reflects a broader issue with the speed and adaptability of regulatory frameworks in the digital age.

A Critical Perspective from the US Federal Trade Commission

At a recent event marking the 35th Anniversary of the Hungarian Competition Authority, US Federal Trade Commission Chair Andrew N. Ferguson offered a pointed critique of Europe’s regulatory approach. He stated:

“Over-regulation and over-vigorous competition enforcement has diminished Europe’s ability to compete […] It is no coincidence that nearly every firm declared a ‘gatekeeper’ by the European Commission under the Digital Markets Act is an American firm,” he said.

This observation raises questions about the fairness and effectiveness of current regulatory practices.

Misconceptions About Big Tech

European regulators often equate size with dominance, a misconception that overlooks the complexities of the tech landscape. For instance, Microsoft, despite being strategically well-positioned, has struggled to make significant inroads in social media, consumer search, or the LLM market.

Premature Regulation and Presumptions of Guilt

Premature regulation is not the only issue. Thierry Breton, the architect of the Digital Services Act (DSA), sent a letter to X (formerly Twitter) warning that streaming an interview with a US presidential candidate could constitute a DSA violation. This presumption of guilt is concerning and reflects a lack of trust in the platforms.

Lazar Radic recently highlighted that the DMA treats companies like Amazon.com as if they were 19th-century railroads. This outdated perspective permeates regulatory thinking towards other American tech giants.

Lessons from the Telecommunications Industry

The parallels between current digital regulations and past telecommunications industry regulations are instructive. When telecoms were regulated, European countries owned the infrastructure, allowing local companies to compete. In contrast, today’s digital infrastructure is largely controlled by US firms.

Regulators are applying the same logic used for telecoms—regulating access and enforcing non-discrimination. However, this approach fails to recognize the fundamental differences in the digital landscape. European companies are forced to compete on the platform rather than for the market, a battle they are unlikely to win.

The Need for Bold Reforms

To truly address these issues, the European Union needs a bold approach that includes large-scale deregulation and a serious acceleration of internal market rule enforcement. As Jensen Huang aptly put it, success requires viability and efficiency across all layers of the “AI cake.”

The DMA and other recent tech regulations are symptoms of a failed regulatory philosophy. Abolishing the DMA alone would not solve Europe’s underlying problems.

Institutional Change and the Law of Supply and Demand

Radical institutional change is necessary, but it appears structurally difficult given the EU’s current architecture. The lessons from the Soviet Union highlight the dangers of relative success within a failing system. Ultimately, the law of supply and demand cannot be defied; it can only be suppressed at increasing cost.

In conclusion, the DMA is not regulating competition—it is regulating failure. The path forward requires bold reforms and a rethinking of the regulatory approach to ensure the EU can compete effectively in the global digital economy.

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