As Selection Sunday approaches, the landscape of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament is becoming clearer, with projections offering a glimpse into potential matchups and team placements. One team whose trajectory has been a focal point is the University of North Carolina Tar Heels. Following a disappointing exit in the quarterfinals of their conference tournament, where they were defeated by Clemson, the Tar Heels’ hopes of improving their NCAA Tournament seeding were dashed.
In the latest bracketology released by USA TODAY Sports, North Carolina is projected as a No. 6 seed in the East Region. This placement has been a consistent theme in recent updates, indicating a stable outlook for the team’s tournament positioning. The Tar Heels concluded their regular season with a respectable 25-7 record. However, the manner in which their season ended, coupled with the season-ending injury to key player Caleb Wilson, makes it unlikely for them to climb higher than a No. 6 seed. Furthermore, a slight drop to a No. 7 seed is not entirely out of the question, according to the analysis.
Projected Midwest Region Bracketology
The USA TODAY Sports bracketology also outlines a potential Midwest Region, with the regional finals slated to be played in Chicago. This region presents a diverse field of teams, highlighting the competitive nature of the tournament.
- No. 1 Seed: Michigan
- No. 16 Seed: Long Island
- No. 8 Seed: Clemson
- No. 9 Seed: Georgia
- No. 5 Seed: Arkansas
- No. 12 Seed: Yale
- No. 4 Seed: Texas Tech
- No. 13 Seed: Hofstra
- No. 6 Seed: North Carolina
- No. 11 Seed: Akron
- No. 3 Seed: Nebraska
- No. 14 Seed: Wright State
- No. 7 Seed: Utah State
- No. 10 Seed: Texas A&M
- No. 2 Seed: Houston
- No. 15 Seed: Merrimack
Key Teams on the Bubble: Last Four In and First Four Out
The bracketology also sheds light on teams that are on the cusp of securing a tournament bid. The “Last Four In” represent teams that are projected to make the field, while the “First Four Out” are those on the immediate periphery, anxiously awaiting Selection Sunday.
March Madness Last Four In:
- Santa Clara
- Virginia Commonwealth
- SMU
- Miami (Ohio)
March Madness First Four Out:
- New Mexico
- Oklahoma
- Auburn
- Indiana
Conference Representation in the NCAA Tournament
The breakdown of conference bids offers insight into which leagues are performing strongly and earning multiple spots in the tournament. This multi-bid status often reflects deep talent pools and competitive regular seasons within those conferences.
Multi-Bid Leagues:
- SEC (10 bids): The Southeastern Conference continues to demonstrate its depth and strength with a significant number of projected bids.
- Big Ten (9 bids): The Big Ten Conference is also well-represented, showcasing the competitive nature of its basketball programs.
- ACC (8 bids): The Atlantic Coast Conference, home to North Carolina, has secured a strong contingent of bids.
- Big 12 (8 bids): The Big 12 Conference is another league with multiple teams expected to make the tournament.
- Big East (3 bids): The Big East Conference, known for its historical tournament success, has a few teams projected to advance.
- West Coast Conference (3 bids): The West Coast Conference is represented by several teams, signaling a competitive landscape outside the traditional power conferences.
- Atlantic 10 (2 bids): The Atlantic 10 Conference has two teams slated for tournament appearances.
- MAC (2 bids): The Mid-American Conference is also projected to have two teams in the field.




